The role of high-frequency data in volatility forecasting: evidence from the China stock market

نویسندگان

چکیده

This research investigates the role of high-frequency data in volatility forecasting China stock market by particularly feeding different frequency return series directly into a large number GARCH versions. The contributions this are as follows. 1) We provide clear evidence to support that superiority traditional time models remains taking advantage data. 2) incorporate distribution assumptions capture stylized facts result shows that: application substantially influence accuracy forecasting, higher is series, better forecasts provided; non-normal distributions such skewed student-t and generalized error more capable at reproducing both intraday daily than normal distribution; 3) estimated 5-min returns not only outperforms other alternatives, but also considerably beats RV-based HAR ARFIMA forecasting.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Forecasting Stock Market Volatility: Further International Evidence

This paper evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of eleven models for monthly volatility in fifteen stock markets. Volatility is defined as within-month standard deviation of continuously compounded daily returns on the stock market index of each country for the ten-year period 1988 to 1997. The first half of the sample is retained for the estimation of parameters while the second ha...

متن کامل

FORECASTING FINANCIAL VOLATILITY: EVIDENCE FROM CHINESE STOCK MARKET by

Volatility models and their forecasts are of interest to many types of economic agents, especially for financial risk management. Since 1982 when Engle proposed the Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (ARCH) model, there have emerged numerous models for forecasting volatility. Given the vast number of models available, agents must decide which one to use. This paper explores a number o...

متن کامل

Forecasting Financial Volatility: Evidence from Chinese Stock Market

Volatility models and their forecasts are of interest to many types of economic agents, especially for financial risk management. Since 1982 when Engle proposed the Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (ARCH) model, there have emerged numerous models for forecasting volatility. Given the vast number of models available, agents must decide which one to use. This paper explores a number o...

متن کامل

the role of russia in transmission of energy from central asia and caucuses to european union

پس ازفروپاشی شوروی،رشد منابع نفت و گاز، آسیای میانه و قفقاز را در یک بازی ژئوپلتیکی انرژی قرار داده است. با در نظر گرفتن این منابع هیدروکربنی، این منطقه به یک میدانجنگ و رقابت تجاری برای بازی های ژئوپلتیکی قدرت های بزرگ جهانی تبدیل شده است. روسیه منطقه را به عنوان حیات خلوت خود تلقی نموده و علاقمند به حفظ حضورش می باشد تا همانند گذشته گاز طبیعی را به وسیله خط لوله مرکزی دریافت و به عنوان یک واس...

15 صفحه اول

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Applied Economics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0003-6846', '1466-4283']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1862747